Could Florence threaten Cape Cod as a hurricane?

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Tropical Storm Florence, now in the Atlantic about 1,500 miles from the coast, is expected to strengthen into a hurricane by Sunday, and continue gaining power for days. Currently, the storm as low chance of formation. The Hurricane Center is forecasting a turn toward the west-northwest with a further decrease in forward speed expected later Thursday, followed by a turn toward the west by the weekend.

Further down the road, should Florence make landfall, we will have the potential of heavy rain and gusty winds at some point during the latter half of next week and into following weekend.

Projections show a meandering course, and the National Hurricane Centre cautioned that a variety of models were in play, making it hard to forecast into next week.

Forecasters say Florence is likely to weaken further over the next day or two and then regain strength as it nears Bermuda and the U.S. The storm is now over the open ocean, more than 1,000 miles east-southeast of Bermuda, moving northwest at 10 mph.

Scientists at the NHC also continue to stress how little we know about where Florence may end up in the coming days. "The risk of other direct impacts associated with Florence along the U.S. East Coast next week has increased", according to the 11 a.m. NHC forecast discussion.

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Some forecast models showed Florence slamming into land by late next week, while others indicated the storm would curve away from shore. AccuWeather Hurricane Expert Dan Kottlowski expects high pressures to strengthen Florence.

While we still have a long way to go and there will be changes/fine tuning in the forecast, Hurricane Florence is running out of opportunities to evade the East Coast.

Although it is quite a distance away, swells generated by Florence will begin to affect Bermuda Saturday, and Florida along with most of the East Coast of the USA will see increasing waves and rip currents this weekend.

The state emergency office recommends that kits have enough supplies for every person in your household for three to seven days. If these disturbance become tropical storms, they will be named Helene and Isaac.